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The Annals of Glen Forkovian

Playing Card Oracle

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For the Playing Cards Oracle, thoroughly shuffle the 52 card deck. Always reshuffle the deck in between questions you ask this oracle. After shuffling, draw the following number of cards based upon how likely is a Yes answer. If you get at least one face card (jack, queen, or king), it's a "Yes". If you get 2+ face cards (or, if only drawing one card, you get a King), that's a "Yes, but...":

Likelihood Cards to draw
Almost certain 12 (97.29%)
Extremely likely 10 (94.64%)
Very likely 8 (89.78%)
Somewhat likely 5 (74.68%)
Roughly Half & Half 3 (55.29%)
Unlikely 1 (23.08%)